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Warm start to week to make way for wetter and windier conditions

The Met Office says the UK faces a 1.5 to 2 times higher chance of a warm, wet autumn as El Niño nears record strength.

  • On Monday, bursts of warmth and sunshine will bring temperatures above 20C to most areas, with central and southern England potentially reaching 26C before winds turn north-westerly by Thursday, ushering in cooler conditions.
  • Supercharged Nino conditions in the Pacific are currently at near-record levels, historically associated with warmer, wetter, and stormier conditions across the UK during late autumn and early winter.
  • By the end of the week, Autumn will bring around 14C to 16C in Scotland and Northern Ireland, and 17C to 20C in England, though Met Office Chief Meteorologist Ian Lisk cautioned Nino is one of several factors affecting UK weather.
  • The Met Office reports an increased likelihood of wetter and windier conditions this Autumn, with chances of warm, wet meteorological conditions one-and-a-half to two times higher than normal, raising the risk of flooding.
  • Forecasts indicate areas of high pressure should exert more influence on weather for the last week of September, while the Met Office will continue monitoring developments and updating predictions as confidence in the outlook evolves.
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Daily Mirror broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Sunday, September 13, 2026.
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