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'Super' El Niño could cause 451,000 excess deaths, researchers say

Researchers say the heat surge could drive 44% more extremely hot days and hit the poorest countries hardest.

  • On Wednesday, the Chicago-based Climate Impact Lab released a report warning that El Niño could cause 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027.
  • Amplified by human-caused climate change, this El Niño event could raise global land temperatures by about 1.2 Celsius , producing 44% more extremely hot days than typical.
  • The Global South faces the heaviest burden, with the Sahel region in Africa expected to see 66,800 deaths, while researchers project 19,400 across Southeast Asia, 15,800 in India, and 13,300 in Brazil.
  • Governments can mitigate risks through heat-warning systems and cooling centers, which authors say provide an opportunity "to see exactly where emergency actions can be taken now to save tens of thousands of lives."
  • Implementation of well-thought-out plans remains challenging, said Abhiyant Tiwari, a heat expert at NRDC India, who added, "The real measure of our preparedness is not how many heat warnings we issue, but how effectively we protect people and reduce preventable deaths.
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Global surface water warming threatens to increase heat-related deaths by February, particularly in developing countries The powerful El Niño weather phenomenon

·France
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The El Niño phenomenon and the record temperatures that have been recorded this year threaten the survival of almost half a million people around the world. According to the report of Climate Impact Lab of the University of Chicago, between June 2026 and February 2027 could be recorded up to 451,000 more deaths, precisely because [...] The article El Niño does not stop, until February half a million more deaths for the heat: "A postcard of the f…

·Rome, Italy
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, September 23, 2026.
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