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Pirates Host the Red Sox in First of 3-Game Series
Kalshi and Dimers give Boston a slight edge, while Dimers also sees value on Pittsburgh at +120 and the over at 7.5 runs.
On Friday, the Boston Red Sox open a three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park, with Jake Bennett facing Bubba Chandler at 6:40 p.m. ET.
Prediction markets lean toward Boston, with Kalshi assigning a 55% win probability to the Red Sox, while Dimers projects a 53% chance for the opener.
Dimers identifies the Over 7.5 runs market as its strongest edge, projecting a 57.8% probability of reaching that total with a 2.5% model advantage at-124 odds.
Boston aims to sustain momentum after snapping a five-game losing streak on Thursday against Toronto, seeking to avoid a third consecutive series loss.
Pittsburgh faces an uphill battle in the National League wild-card race, having lost seven of its last 10 games and failing to win a series since the All-Star break.