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UMBC Poll: Moore Leads Cox by 27 Points in Maryland Governor's Race

The UMBC survey of 776 likely voters also found 79% are enthusiastic about voting and Moore’s supporters are more firmly committed.

  • On Tuesday, a new poll from the University of Maryland, Baltimore County's Institute of Politics showed Democratic Gov. Wes Moore leading Republican Dan Cox 51% to 24% among likely voters.
  • The UMBC Poll surveyed 776 likely Maryland voters from Sept. 22 through Sept. 27, finding that 84% of Moore supporters are set on their choice compared with 74% of Cox supporters.
  • Voters expressed critical views of both parties, with 71% saying the Maryland Republican Party is controlled by special interests or big donors, while 59% said the same of the Maryland Democratic Party.
  • Enthusiasm for the election remains high, with 79% of likely voters saying they are "very or somewhat" enthusiastic about voting, and 35% planning to vote in person on Election Day.
  • The institute plans to release additional poll results Wednesday and Thursday as interest in the November 3 election remains high among Maryland voters.
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Bias Distribution

  • 78% of the sources are Center
78% Center

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WBFF broke the news on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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