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PM Carney prepared for ‘risk’ that Trump might order U.S.-led military invasion of Canada: report

Carney said the review was needed because a U.S. attack would be an extreme tail risk, and military planners modeled unconventional defenses.

  • Prime Minister Mark Carney revealed in a New York Times interview published Wednesday that he has examined the "extreme tail risk" of potential U.S. military action against Canada, characterizing contingency planning as a necessary responsibility.
  • President Donald Trump's repeated rhetoric calling Canada the "51st state" and threats to use "economic force" prompted Canadian officials to initiate the unprecedented strategic risk assessment of potential intervention.
  • Canadian Armed Forces planners, lacking sufficient conventional forces to repel a direct American assault, modeled unconventional defensive tactics including sabotage, ambush, and drone warfare, according to government officials.
  • Despite these preparations, Carney insisted he and Trump can "compartmentalize" their relationship, continuing to cooperate on global issues like the war in Ukraine even as tensions persist.
  • This modelling marks the first time in one century that the military has prepared for an American invasion, demonstrating the gravity with which officials are treating bilateral relations.
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119 Articles

Lean Right

Prime Minister Mark Carney acknowledged that his government has examined the possibility of a U.S. military action against Canada.

·Mexico
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Lean Right

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney acknowledged that his government has analyzed the risk of U.S. military action following ongoing threats by President Donald Trump to turn Canada into “state 51.” In an interview with The New York Times, Carney explained that while he considers the option extremely remote ... Continue reading “Prime Minister of Canada acknowledges having analyzed the risk of an invasion of the U.S.”

·Concepción, Chile
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Lean Left

Mark Carney offers a vision of Canada that is less dependent on America, combining keeping the door to the Washington deal open with diversification of trade, defence and technology partners, after old dependences have turned into pressure sheets.

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Le Journal de Montreal broke the news in Montreal, Canada on Wednesday, September 23, 2026.
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