Latvia PM's United List ahead in election, exit poll shows
SKDS polling shows United List at 14.4% as one third of voters remain undecided or say they will not vote, raising coalition uncertainty.
- Latvia holds parliamentary elections today, October 3, 2026, with Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' centrist United List expected to win the largest share of seats but unlikely to secure an outright majority.
- Kulbergs rose to power in May 2026 after the government led by Evika Silina collapsed. The current four-party coalition includes New Unity, the National Alliance, and the Union of Greens and Farmers.
- An SKDS poll published September 25 placed United List first at 14.4%, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians followed on 9.4%. Advance voting turnout reached 5.66%, with over 88,000 citizens participating before today.
- Security concerns and cost of living issues dominate the election agenda in this NATO and European Union member state bordering Russia. The 2026 defence budget reached €2.16 billion, equivalent to 4.73% of GDP.
- Seven parties are projected to enter the Saeima, requiring coalition bargaining to form the next government. Recent tensions over constitutional amendments regarding gender and marriage have fractured coalition agreements, complicating negotiations ahead.
42 Articles
42 Articles
A clear victory of the United List of Prime Minister Kulbergs emerges in the parliamentary election in Latvia. It comes to 35.6 percent of the votes.
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According to the results of the exit poll published on Saturday, Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' centrist party, the United List, came out on top in the Latvian parliamentary elections, as expected, but will need coalition partners to form a majority government.
The party of interim Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, would impose 35.6% of the votes in the legislative elections, in the absence of continued scrutiny
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Bias Distribution
- 44% of the sources are Center, 43% of the sources lean Right
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