Atlantic Disturbance Invest 98L Rebounds with 40% Chance of Development
Forecasters say the system has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical depression as strong upper-level winds continue to limit organization.
- On Friday, the National Hurricane Center monitored Invest 98L, a tropical disturbance located about 350 miles east of Bermuda in the open Atlantic.
- Historically, moderate-to-strong El Niño events reduce Atlantic hurricane days by roughly 60 percent, driving an unprecedented lull in the 2026 hurricane season.
- The NHC reports a 40% formation chance over the next 48 hours and seven days, though hostile upper-level winds currently suppress organization of the system.
- Should the system organize, it could become Fay, though current projections show it drifting slowly westward without posing any immediate threat to the United States.
- AccuWeather projects zero to two storms causing "Some Impact" through the remainder of the season, though warmer coastal waters could still fuel late, fast-moving threats to the U.S.
12 Articles
12 Articles
Bermuda Disturbance Could Yield Atlantic’s First Hurricane as El Niño Limits Broader Risks
The potential tropical threat near Bermuda remains the most immediate area to watch in the Atlantic where conditions are conducive to producing the season’s first Atlantic hurricane. “This could be the system that finally produces the first hurricane of the Atlantic season,” said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. “If it becomes organized, conditions near Bermuda could support strengthening and potentially allow the system to reach …
Could The Atlantic’s Quiet Streak Finally Break? Forecasters Eye Disturbance Near Bermuda
Meteorologists are watching a cluster of storms in the open Atlantic that may try to organize into a tropical depression, emerging during what has been a remarkably quiet 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued an advisory Thursday morning on the disturbance, designated as AL98, which was spinning about 350 miles […] Could The Atlantic’s Quiet Streak Finally Break? Forecasters Eye Disturbance Near Bermuda
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The area of low pressure east of Bermuda – tagged Invest 98L by the National Hurricane Center – is better organized, but the message from the various computer forecast models continues to be mixed on whether it will develop.
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