Hurricane Center Says Atlantic System Could Become Tropical Depression
Forecasters said the system has a 40% chance of development in seven days as conditions become more favorable later this week.
- The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a low-pressure system in the central Atlantic east-southeast of Bermuda with a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression within 7 days.
- A strong El Niño in the Pacific Ocean has suppressed Atlantic storm development by creating hostile wind shear and dry, sinking air, leaving the 2026 season without a single hurricane.
- If no hurricane forms by September 22, the 2026 season will break the record for the latest first hurricane ever, after already setting a record for the latest date without one.
- Forecast models remain split on development prospects; AI-based ensembles suggest a medium chance while traditional physics-based models insist the system is a "nothingburger" over Atlantic waters.
- Long-Range models suggest the Central American Gyre could take shape by the end of the month, keeping tropical development potential alive as the Atlantic hurricane season continues through November 30.
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13 Articles
Atlantic hurricane season’s struggles continue
The low-pressure system located over the central Atlantic early Wednesday about 600 miles east of Bermuda and being tagged for possible development by the National Hurricane Center remains convectively starved and appears to be in no hurry to organize.
Atlantic disturbance’s chances of becoming a tropical depression decrease as it heads west
A trough of low pressure in the central subtropical Atlantic remained disorganized Wednesday morning and had a low chance of becoming a tropical depression, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) began monitoring a disturbance in the central subtropical Atlantic Wednesday that has a 30% probability of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.
Tampa Bay Times
Hurricane center says Atlantic system could become tropical depression
So far the hurricane season has yet to produce an actual hurricane.
Atlantic disturbance could become tropical depression later this week. See the forecast.
A low-pressure system in the central subtropical Atlantic could become a tropical depression later this week as it moves westward, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday morning.
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