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From radiative signal to early warning: the integrated IRIS index for detecting, explaining and projecting intraseasonal rainfall breaks in the Sahel (1992–2050)
Intraseasonal rainfall breaks spells of consecutive dry days within the monsoon season are a principal driver of crop failure and food insecurity in the Sahel, yet they remain difficult to anticipate. This study evaluates the Sahel Integrated Radiative Index (IRIS), an experimental scalar buil...
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