Skip to main content
See every side of every news story
Published • loading... • Updated

Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro Turns Scandal Into Poll Gains

  • An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey of 5,015 voters released Wednesday shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a statistical dead heat, with results falling within the survey's 1 percentage point margin of error.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50 percent of valid votes on October 4, the top two frontrunners will advance to an October 25 runoff, prompting campaigns to prioritize first-round turnout.
  • In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 45.8% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro at 43.4%, while Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Ronaldo Caiado trail with 4.5%, 2.1%, and 1.3% respectively.
  • Simulated runoff figures show Lula holding a narrow lead with 47.7% of voter support compared with 47.4% for Bolsonaro, underscoring the race's razor-thin margin.
  • The latest findings mark a narrowing from an earlier Quaest poll on August 5, which placed Lula ahead by a wider five-point margin of 44 percent to 39 percent.
Insights by Ground AI

100 Articles

Lean Left

The presidential race in Brazil is heating up with less than two weeks to go before the October 4 election. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first round, but recent polls show a close tie in a runoff. According to a Quaest poll published on September 21, Lula would receive 37% support in the first round, compared to 33% for Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jai…

Lean Right

Opinion polls continue to narrow the gap between the two favorite candidates

·Vicente López, Argentina
Read Full Article
KreiszeitungKreiszeitung
+5 Reposted by 5 other sources
Center

Less than two weeks before the presidential election, the race has become much tighter. Lula meets Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

·Syke, Germany
Read Full Article
Think freely.Subscribe and get full access to Ground NewsSubscriptions start at $9.99/yearSubscribe

Bias Distribution

  • 58% of the sources are Center
58% Center

Factuality Info Icon

To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium

Ownership

Info Icon

To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage

Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, September 11, 2026.
Too Big Arrow Icon
Sources are mostly out of (0)

Similar News Topics

News
Feed Dots Icon
For You
Search Icon
Search
Blindspot LogoBlindspotLocal