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Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro Turns Scandal Into Poll Gains

A recent poll shows Flavio Bolsonaro narrowing Lula’s lead as economic unease and a corruption scandal reshape the race, with only a small pool of persuadable voters.

  • On Wednesday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey of 5,015 voters found President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, with results falling within the 1 percentage point margin of error.
  • President Lula seeks a fourth term while facing a challenge from Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who has represented Rio de Janeiro in the federal Senate since 2019.
  • Fieldwork conducted between September 17 and 22 shows Lula leading 45.8% to 43.4% for Bolsonaro in a first-round scenario, though the narrow margin keeps the contest effectively tied.
  • Economic unease persists as the government raised Bolsa Família welfare payments by 15% to BRL691, while 24% of Brazilians report income growing less than the cost of living.
  • If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes on October 4, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25 to determine Brazil's next president.
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102 Articles

Lean Left

The presidential race in Brazil is heating up with less than two weeks to go before the October 4 election. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first round, but recent polls show a close tie in a runoff. According to a Quaest poll published on September 21, Lula would receive 37% support in the first round, compared to 33% for Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jai…

Lean Right

Opinion polls continue to narrow the gap between the two favorite candidates

·Vicente López, Argentina
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KreiszeitungKreiszeitung
+5 Reposted by 5 other sources
Center

Less than two weeks before the presidential election, the race has become much tighter. Lula meets Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

·Syke, Germany
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Bias Distribution

  • 58% of the sources are Center
58% Center

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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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