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Met Office Warns of 'Wet and Windy' Autumn as El Nino at Record Levels

The Met Office said the chance of a warm, wet autumn is 1.5 to 2 times higher, with flooding risk rising.

  • The Met Office forecasts a wetter and windier autumn for the UK, with the likelihood of such conditions rising significantly as a near-record El Niño event strengthens in the Pacific Ocean.
  • El Niño occurs when sea-surface temperatures in parts of the tropical Pacific become warmer than average and can affect weather patterns in Europe, though forecasters emphasize it is just one of several climate drivers.
  • Met Office Chief Meteorologist Ian Lisk warned that wetter conditions increase flooding risks, particularly from late autumn, noting that historically these events correlate with stormier weather patterns.
  • Despite recent rain turning the grass green, the Environment Agency reported that large portions of England remain in drought, with reservoirs at very low levels and it would be "understandable" to think the crisis had ended.
  • The current El Niño is expected to peak as a historic event by November or December, and forecasters will continue to monitor developments closely to update their seasonal forecasts as confidence in the outlook evolves.
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14 Articles

Lean Right

Current suggests evidence conditions later this autumn and into early winter may be more unsettled than is typical for the time of year,' says UK weather agency

·Ankara, Türkiye
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Evening StandardEvening Standard
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Autumn more likely to be wetter than average bringing increased risk of floods

Forecasts have indicated that one of the strongest El Nino events on record would develop, the Met Office said.

·London, United Kingdom
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asriran.com broke the news on Thursday, September 10, 2026.
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