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Will Elon Musk win his lawsuit against Sam Altman's OpenAI? Here's what prediction markets think

Kalshi traders priced Musk’s win chances at 40% after his three-day testimony ended, reflecting shifting sentiment in the OpenAI lawsuit.

Summary by Ground News
In the eyes of prediction markets traders, Elon Musk is hurting himself in the trial against OpenAI. The multibillion-dollar lawsuit against OpenAI went to trial on April 27 in federal court in Oakland, California. The day after proceedings started, Kalshi traders were calling for a 60% likelihood Musk would win the case. Those odds dropped to just under 34% on May 2, two days after Musk concluded his testimony.

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CNBC broke the news in United States on Wednesday, May 6, 2026.
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