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Right-wing feud strengthens Andy Burnham's bid to be next British prime minister
Polls put Restore at 7%-8% in Makerfield, a split that could help Andy Burnham edge ahead of Reform.
On Thursday, June 18, Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham contests the Makerfield by-election, a pivotal race that could position him to challenge Prime Minister Keir Starmer for national leadership.
Labour's advantage stems from a divided right-wing electorate, as Reform UK and Restore Britain—led by former colleagues Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe—compete for the same voter base following their acrimonious split last year.
Polling suggests Burnham leads with 46% support, while Reform's Robert Kenyon trails at 41% and Restore's Rebecca Shepherd holds 7%; around 48% of Makerfield's electorate did not vote last time.
Former Tory MP Andrew Bridgen dismissed claims that Restore exists to "prop up" Reform, arguing the party attracts voters who "wouldn't normally vote" rather than siphoning support from rivals.
This contest underscores the shifting identity of the "Red Wall," where traditionally working-class, Labour-held seats are becoming prime targets for anti-establishment parties amid voter skepticism of the fractured landscape.
Six O'Clock News cover final campaigning in the Makerfield by-election, where a split on the right could aid Andy Burnham’s push to enter Parliament and challenge Keir Starmer