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China Taps Reserves as Iran War Disrupts 30% of Global Fertiliser Trade

Disruptions in the Gulf cut urea production by nearly half and raise prices by 40%, threatening key agriculture in India, Brazil, and China during the critical sowing season.

  • As the US‑Israel war with Iran enters its third week, analysts say it is severely disrupting fertiliser markets and urea exports are set to fall to about 1.5 million metric tonnes in March.
  • Because fertiliser production is energy-intensive, missile and drone strikes and the Strait of Hormuz’s near closure cut natural gas supplies, worsening tight markets already strained by Europe and China.
  • QatarEnergy halted output at the world's largest urea plant as urea export prices from the Middle East surged about 40% to more than $700 per metric tonne last Friday.
  • About half of the world's food relies on fertiliser, and farmers in the US are about 25 percent short of supplies, risking global food security, warned Carl Skau on Tuesday.
  • Kpler analysis shows up to one‑third of global fertiliser trade could be disrupted as the US‑Israel war with Iran enters its third week, during sowing season, with Seth Goldstein warning nitrogen prices could roughly double and phosphate climb 50.
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A complete blockade would hurt Iran as much as its Arab neighbors.

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SANA broke the news in Syrian Arab Republic (the) on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.
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