U.S. spy agencies examine how Iran would react to Trump declaring victory: Reuters
Analysts are weighing whether a U.S. pullback would help de-escalate the conflict or embolden Iran as Republican election risks grow, sources said.
- On Tuesday, U.S. intelligence agencies began analyzing how Iran might respond if President Donald Trump declared a unilateral victory in the two-month-old war, according to two officials and a person familiar with the matter.
- The White House faces "enormous" domestic pressure to end the conflict, with 54% of Americans reporting negative financial impacts and officials worrying the war could contribute to deep Republican losses in midterm elections later this year.
- Intelligence assessments suggest if Trump declared victory and withdrew forces, Iran would view it as a win; maintaining a heavy troop presence would likely be perceived as a negotiating tactic, according to sources.
- White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said the U.S. will "not be rushed into making a bad deal," while diplomatic efforts have failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran continues disrupting shipping.
- During the ceasefire that began April 8, Iran has recovered buried munitions and drones, meaning tactical costs of resuming full-scale war are arguably higher now than in the conflict's initial days, sources said.
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34 Articles
The Iran war is extremely unpopular among Americans. The White House insists on a good deal with the Iranian leadership – but at the same time apparently considering a unilateral exit from fear of an internal political debacle.
The Iran war is extremely unpopular among Americans, which may have a negative impact on the interim elections for President Trump. Apparently, the US is examining strategies for a rapid end to the conflict, even without Iranian approval.
U.S. Intelligence Mapping Out Scenarios for Trump’s Potential Retreat from Iran Conflict
The war in Iran is bleeding the Trump administration politically, and behind closed doors, officials are trying to figure out how to get out of it. Intelligence agencies have begun modeling what would happen if Trump declared victory tomorrow and pulled American forces back from the two-month conflict. The analysis, requested by senior administration officials, […]
US intel assesses Iran's response to possible Trump victory claim
US intelligence agencies are assessing how Iran could respond if Donald Trump declares victory and scales back involvement in the conflict. The review reflects rising domestic political pressure, market disruption and uncertainty over whether Tehran would see such a move as de-escalation.
EXCLUSIVE-US spy agencies examine how Iran would react to Trump declaring victory
* US intelligence consider Iran's likely response to Trump declaring victory, sources say * Military options remain, but large-scale escalation seen as less likely by officials * Political pressure mounts on Trump as war remains unpopular By Erin Banco and Gram Slattery April 28 - U.S. intelligence agencies are studying how Iran would respond if President Donald Trump were to declare a unilateral victory in the two-month-old war that has kil…
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- 39% of the sources lean Right
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