CLARITY Act 2026 Odds Collapse To 20% As Senate Path Narrows

Clarity Act Odds Tank to 20% on Polymarket After Sharp Decline

The chances of the U.S. Clarity Act becoming law have taken a sharp hit, with prediction market Polymarket, now putting the bill’s odds of passage at just 20%. The figure marks a steep drop of roughly 45 percentage points from earlier levels, according to recent Polymarket data highlighted by Cointelegraph. The steep decline signals growing […] The post Clarity Act Odds Tank to 20% on Polymarket After Sharp Decline appeared first on Tekedia.

Galaxy Cut CLARITY's Odds From 30% to 10%

Galaxy Digital’s research desk cut the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 to 10%, down from 75% after the Senate Banking Committee’s bipartisan markup in May.  Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of firmwide research, published the revised figure in a 14 August post on X, calling it the sharpest single revision in the bill’s short legislative history and the clearest signal yet that Congress will not deliver a comprehensive crypto market-…

CLARITY Act 2026 Odds Collapse To 20% As Senate Path Narrows

Prediction-market confidence in the CLARITY Act has collapsed, with traders now assigning only a 20% chance that the U.S. crypto market-structure bill will be signed into law before the end of 2026. The Polymarket contract on H.R. 3633 has generated more than $7.2 million in volume and requires the legislation to pass both chambers of Congress and receive presidential approval by December 31. The market reached 82% on February 19, leaving the im…