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US job growth expected to slow in September; unemployment rate likely steady
Economists expect 84,000 new jobs and steady wage gains as layoffs stay low, reinforcing the view that the labor market remains stable.
On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its September nonfarm payrolls report, providing critical insight into U.S. labor market stability as the Federal Reserve weighs its next policy move.
Fed Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson noted on Thursday that labor conditions have stabilized, citing payroll gains that broadened to many sectors despite recent volatility and low layoffs.
Wage growth is forecast at 3.2% for September, while first-time unemployment insurance claims edged down to 197,000 last week, reflecting resilient labor market conditions.
Market expectations for an October rate hike dropped to 37% on Wednesday after cooler inflation data, with New York Fed President John Williams suggesting policymakers might wait.
Investors remain focused on elevated long-term Treasury yields, driven by Washington's enormous deficits and growing government debt supply, a challenge the Fed cannot immediately resolve.