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UK inflation to be highest in G7 this year, OECD warns

UK inflation is forecast to reach 3.5% in 2025, the highest in the G7, driven by rising food prices and higher trade costs, while growth slows to 1% in 2026, OECD says.

  • The OECD announced on September 23, 2025, that the UK faces the highest inflation level among major economies this year while growth remains positive but slowing.
  • This situation results from rising food prices, a tighter fiscal stance with higher taxes and spending cuts, and escalating US tariffs increasing trade costs and uncertainty.
  • The UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter and 0.3% in the second but is expected to slow as front-loading of activity ends and tariffs affect investment.
  • The OECD raised the UK inflation forecast to 3.5% for 2025, 0.4 percentage points above the prior estimate, and expects inflation to remain above the Bank of England target at 2.7% in 2026.
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves emphasized the stronger-than-expected growth but acknowledged more work is needed, while warnings suggest food inflation could stay above 5% into 2026 with impacts on consumers.
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The Herald ScotlandThe Herald Scotland
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UK economy to be weighed on by government policy and tax moves, OECD says

The OECD said the UK will also experience the highest level of inflation among the G7 group of advanced economies this year.

·Scotland, United Kingdom
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Bias Distribution

  • 37% of the sources lean Left, 36% of the sources are Center
37% Left

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The Times broke the news in United Kingdom on Tuesday, September 23, 2025.
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