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UK borrowing jumped in February before Iran war risks to budget

Public sector borrowing rose to £14.3 billion in February, 18% higher than last year, driven by debt interest timing, increased spending, and Iran conflict-induced borrowing costs.

  • On March 20 in Manchester, Britain's government reported public sector net borrowing of 14.3 billion pounds in February, much higher than economists' forecasts of about an 8.5–8.8 billion deficit.
  • Rising public spending and interest timing meant the Office for National Statistics said debt interest payments rose to £13 billion in February, up from £7.5 billion a year earlier, driving an 18% borrowing increase.
  • The ONS revision showed January's surplus increased to 31.9 billion from 30.3 billion, while short-dated British gilts plunged after Bank of England warnings and energy attacks.
  • Finance minister Rachel Reeves now faces demands to support households facing higher energy and motor fuel costs later this year, while borrowing for the 2025/26 financial year stands at £125.9 billion.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility last month forecast borrowing of 132.7 billion pounds, with Ruth Gregory warning 'We doubt there is scope for a large-scale fiscal support package like that seen in 2022'.
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In the UK, this could be described as something of a shock. The last such instance occurred during the global financial crisis, at the end of July 2008. For a country with debt close to its GDP, the observed increase in interest rates is a serious problem. Even more serious than for Poland.

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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Friday, March 20, 2026.
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