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China Could Win Taiwan Without Fighting

The governments of the United States and China both assert that theirs is the most important bilateral relationship in the world. They also agree that the likeliest trigger for an armed conflict between them is Taiwan. In theory, then, it should come as a relief that U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping discussed Taiwan at length in Beijing last month and that the leaders emerged with a better understanding of each other's p…

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What has happened? An analysis by Foreign Affairs reveals that Trump's strategic ambiguity over Taiwan is being exploited by Xi Jinping to advance his annexation plan without the need for armed conflict. Who is behind it? Chinese President Xi Jinping seeks to redefine U.S. policy towards the island, using diplomatic pressure and coercion to cast doubt on Washington's reliability as an ally. What impact does it have? The credibility of the U.S. i…

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Moncloa broke the news on Monday, June 22, 2026.
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