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Top White House Economist Points to 1.6% Inflation as Evidence the Fed Doesn't Need Higher Rates

Kevin Warsh argues the Fed can hold rates steady as 1.6% core CPI and stronger-than-expected jobs data shape the debate, officials said.

  • On Thursday, President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs if the Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates, escalating pressure on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
  • National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett argues expansion is not inflationary, citing 1.6% core CPI and 5% growth, while Vice President J.D. Vance and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent advocate against rate hikes.
  • Markets anticipate a 60% chance of a rate hike on September 16 following August data showing 162,000 new jobs, though former Fed Vice Chair Roger Ferguson warns core inflation remains around 2.5%.
  • Policymakers entered a mandatory two-week quiet period on Saturday, prohibiting public remarks until after the September 16 meeting, as Fed Governor Christopher Waller previously indicated willingness to hold rates steady if inflation shows progress.
  • Key inflation-linked data expected next week will likely determine the final policy path, as officials weigh whether energy-driven inflation from Middle East supply crunches necessitates higher rates or if expansion remains sustainable.
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With his demand for lower interest rates, Trump is also putting pressure on Powell's successors. No matter how the next decision comes out: Warsh has only bad options, says Astrid Dörner.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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IBTimes broke the news in New York, United States on Sunday, September 6, 2026.
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