There's a good chance this year's El Niño will break records. We're about to find out what that means.
Forecasters say the event could reach 3 C to almost 4 C above average, with global heat, drought and flooding risks rising.
- On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center reported a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño event this fall and winter.
- Meteorologist Chris Bouzakis describes the current El Niño as 'uncharted territory,' noting that weakening Pacific trade winds have allowed warm water to accumulate across equatorial regions.
- The Panama Canal Authority has begun restricting ship traffic as drought conditions worsen, straining the critical shipping route amid record-high sea surface temperatures recorded in September 2026.
- Severe droughts are expected across Central America, Australia, and Asia, while fishing crews in Ecuador and Peru report declining catches as marine life migrates to cooler waters.
- Research Biologist Steven Paton of the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute advises communities to prepare for the worst, though specific local impacts remain difficult to predict despite broader climate trends.
11 Articles
11 Articles
There's a good chance this year's El Niño will break records. We're about to find out what that means.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center released its September El Niño update Thursday, saying there is a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event in the Northern Hemisphere during this fall and winter.
Macau braces for potential record El Niño and wetter winter
The local observatory has forecast that the current El Niño will peak by year-end, possibly reaching “super-strong” intensity and becoming the strongest on record, lasting until February. It said abnormally warm Pacific waters would continue to strengthen the phenomenon, with El Niño winters in Macau typically wetter, though patterns may vary, and warned that combined with global warming, the risk of extreme weather is rising. The post Macau bra…
According to meteorologist Piter Scheuer and the Civil Defense, the phenomenon in the Pacific exceeds previous marks, but the warning is that the cold and climate depend on a gangorra between winds and the Atlantic The post El Niño tests the ‘pacience of the climate' in SC with anomaly of up to 3.5 °C and 95% chance of historical peak appeared first in ND More
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