The salt shaker test: Change Research poll with David Jolly ahead of Byron Donalds warrants heavy salting

Byron Donalds' chances of winning Florida governor's seat, new poll shows

Democrats have not won a statewide election in Florida since 2018 and have struggled as the state shifted toward Republicans.

The salt shaker test: Change Research poll with David Jolly ahead of Byron Donalds warrants heavy salting

A new poll from Change Research shows David Jolly leading Byron Donalds by 5 points, 47% to 42% — and among (self-described) likely voters, Jolly is up by 6 points. Maybe it’s time to buy stock in salt? We are going to start with the positive aspects of this poll. The methodology is perfectly transparent, so kudos. They disclose the client (Freedom Project USA), the recruitment sources, the weighting variables and the post-stratification targets…

David Jolly Poll Lead Over Byron Donalds Faces Questions About Methodology

A new statewide survey suggests Democrat David Jolly holds an early advantage over Republican Byron Donalds in Florida’s 2026 governor’s race, but questions about the poll’s methodology are already fueling skepticism among political observers. The survey, conducted by Change Research for Freedom Project USA, found Jolly leading Donalds 47% to 42% among registered voters. Among […] The post New Poll Showing David Jolly Ahead of Byron Donalds Face…