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Betting Spike Ahead of Machado’s Nobel Peace Prize and Suspected Cyber Breach Trigger Leak Probe

Summary by Merco Press
The Norwegian Nobel Institute concluded that a cyberattack is the “most likely” explanation for the leak of information about the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, after prediction markets registered an abrupt—and highly profitable—shift in favor of María Corina Machado a few hours before the official announcement.

9 Articles

Center

The Nobel Norwegian Institute confirmed this Tuesday that the investigations have concluded that the news of the award of the Nobel Peace Prize 2025 to the Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado was leaked illegally but have not been able to determine how."Since several people placed significant amounts of money on predictive websites hours before the announcement we can say with certainty that there were actors who were able to acqui…

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Right

Hours before the official announcement, the victory of the opposition from Maduro was given as a certainty on a platform of illegalposts in Portugal. Norwegian authorities assisted the Nobel Committee in the investigation.

·Portugal
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Lean Left

Venezuelan opponent María Corina Machado was not among the favorites to win last year’s Nobel Peace Prize. Her name was not on the lists of experts or major bookmakers. Until suddenly, something changed. Just a few hours before the official announcement, her name skyrocketed as the most likely winner at Polymarket, a well-known website that allows money to bet on all kinds of events, from football matches to the possibility of a new U.S. attack …

·Spain
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(EFE) – This Tuesday, the Nobel Norwegian Institute confirmed that the investigations concluded that the news of the award of the Nobel Peace Prize 2025 to the Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado was leaked illegally but they have not been able to determine how. “Since several people placed significant amounts of money on predictive websites hours before the announcement we can say with certainty that there were actors who were abl…

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El Pais broke the news in Spain on Monday, February 2, 2026.
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