The Past Decade’s Emissions Are Already Driving Worse Heat Waves in Europe
Researchers found post-2015 emissions made Europe’s 2025 record heat wave about one-third of a degree Celsius hotter, with 99-in-100 odds.
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7 Articles
Scientists estimate that the heat wave of June 2025 was approximately 0.34 °C warmer than it would have been in Europe without emissions over the last 10 years.
Time Magazine
khbrknewsThe Past Decade’s Emissions Are Already Driving Worse Heat Waves in Europe
A woman shelters from the sun with a parasol on June 21, 2026 in Seville, Spain. —Marcelo del Pozo—Getty ImagesThe heat waves Europe has seen in recent years were made measurably more intense because of the greenhouse gasses emitted since the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, according to a new study published today in Geophysical Research Letters. “We found that the emissions released since the signing of this Paris Agreement in 2015 have substant…
The Next Frontier of Attribution Science Has Arrived
Europe’s record-breaking heat wave in 2025 would have been a third of a degree Celsius cooler if not for emissions released just since the Paris Climate Agreement was signed in 2015, researchers found in a new study published Tuesday by the American Geophysical Union’s Geophysical Research Letters. The research marks a step forward for attribution science, which has traditionally worked to tie extreme events such as heat waves and floods to clim…
Climate change in a time-lapse: Already the emissions that have been added since the 2015 Paris climate agreement have measurably increased Europe's recent heat waves. A new AI-based mapping process shows a clear signal for the hottest weeks since 2021. For the heat wave in June 2025, the modelled warming was around one third Celsius. Stanford (U.S.A.). [...] The post CO2 emissions of the last ten years have increased Europe's heat waves appeare…
Emissions from the past decade have made Europe's recent heat waves worse
Recent heat waves in Europe have been intensified by the greenhouse gases emitted since nations committed to limiting global warming under the 2015 Paris Agreement, according to a Sep. 22 study published in Geophysical Research Letters.
Madrid.- The emissions to the atmosphere of greenhouse gases produced during the last decade, after the Paris Agreement of 2015, have increased in a very significant way the heat waves that have been recorded in Europe. This has been verified by a team from the Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability (University of Stanford, [...] The entry The emissions of the last decade have significantly intensified the heat waves in Europe was first publish…
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