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Fed Expected to Hold Interest Rates Steady, Update Outlook Amid Iran War

Fed officials held rates at 3.5%-3.75% due to a 92,000 job loss in February and rising oil prices after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing energy market uncertainty.

  • On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee left the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with market indicators showing near-certain probability of a rate hold entering the meeting.
  • Deteriorating job growth and pre‑conflict inflation readings framed policymakers' deliberations as U.S. employers cut 92,000 jobs in February and the February consumer price index released March 11 rose 2.4% year over year.
  • The Iran energy shock added uncertainty as the Strait of Hormuz closure cut about 20% of global oil supply, pushing Brent to $102.58 on Tuesday.
  • The Fed's quarterly projections, released today, show holding rates leaves mortgage, auto, and credit costs largely unchanged for American consumers, with Powell noting broad support for the hold.
  • After this meeting, the FOMC reconvenes April 28-29 as Powell's term ends May 15 amid opposition from Sen. Thom Tillis over nominations.
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thedailyeconomy.org broke the news in on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.
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