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GOP’s Midterm Worries Surge After Texas ‘Wake-up Call’

Taylor Rehmet won Texas Senate District 9 by 14 points after Trump carried it by 17 in 2024, signaling turnout issues and GOP vulnerability, strategists said.

  • On Saturday, January 31, Democrat Taylor Rehmet won the Texas Senate District 9 seat by 14 percentage points, despite President Donald Trump carrying the district by 17 points in 2024.
  • Amid concerns about mobilization, Republican strategists blamed turnout failures and argued 2024 margins don’t reliably transfer when the president isn’t on the ballot, as Trump said he was not involved.
  • Nearly half of special election voters were from Republican households, Ross Hunt said Rehmet dominated independents and swayed Republicans, while Rep. Pete Sessions cited a severe winter storm last week affecting turnout.
  • Republican strategists warned the loss signals seats can’t be taken for granted and urged urgency on turnout, while Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick called the SD 9 result a wake-up call for Republicans.
  • The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee reports that Democrats hold a 3-to-1 fundraising advantage, with polls showing Democratic leads of 46.5%-41.7%.
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  • 40% of the sources are Center, 40% of the sources lean Right
40% Right

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Real Clear Politics broke the news in Chicago, United States on Monday, February 2, 2026.
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