Talarico holds slight lead in Texas Senate race poll
- A new NBC 5 Dallas/Telemundo Station Group Texas Voter Poll shows likely voters prefer Democrat State Rep. James Talarico over Republican State Attorney General Ken Paxton for U.S. Senate, while Republican Gov. Greg Abbott leads Democrat State Rep. Gina Hinojosa.
- The Cook Political Report moved the race from 'Lean' Republican to toss-up in late August, as Paxton faced a 2023 Texas House impeachment and 2015 securities fraud indictment, later agreeing to pay about $300,000 in restitution.
- Among surveyed independent voters, 51% favor Talarico compared to 30% for Paxton, while 52% of women support Talarico and Abbott leads among men with 54%.
- Democrats have not won a Texas Senate seat in 38 years, making this race a critical target for the party's attempt to secure a Senate majority.
- Regarding voter priorities, 24% of respondents cite the economy and jobs as the primary influence on their vote, while 23% point to inflation and the cost of living.
17 Articles
17 Articles
Talarico, Buoyed by Strong Gen Z Support, Leads Paxton Outside Margin of Error in New Poll
Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico of Texas has reportedly pulled ahead by a large margin in his race against Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton, according to a poll released […]
All recent polls have Talarico ahead of Paxton in the U.S. Senate race
By Hien An Ngo and Apurva Mahajan, The Texas Tribune August 7, 2026 Texas’ candidates in this year’s U.S. Senate race are neck and neck, according to recent polling. Since the runoff election on May 26, state Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has performed slightly better than his Republican opponent, Attorney General Ken Paxton.…
Abortion Activist James Talarico Essentially Tied With Pro-Life Ken Paxton
The huge Texas Senate race between a radical abortion activist and the pro-life state Attorney General is essentially tied. Democrat James Talarico holds a one-point lead over Republican Ken Paxton in Texas’ U.S. Senate race, according to a Texas Southern University poll released Tuesday, a margin inside the survey’s error range as national pro-life groups […]
Talarico Just Ahead in Texas Senate Race
A new Texas Southern University poll in Texas finds James Talarico (D) leading Ken Paxton (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 46%. Texas Senate Race James Talarico (D) 47% Ken Paxton (R) 46% Texas Southern University poll · likely voters · ±2.3%
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- 56% of the sources are Center
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