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Sweden's fractured left holds slim lead in polls before Sunday election
Polls give Magdalena Andersson's bloc 49.3% to 50.8% support, but party divisions could force lengthy talks or a minority government.
On Sunday, Sweden holds a parliamentary election acting as a referendum on the incumbent right-wing government's alliance with the far-right. Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson holds a narrow lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
Recent polls show Andersson's four left-leaning parties with 50.8% support, estimated to secure 180 seats, while the coalition government and Sweden Democrats stand at 47.6%, projected to win 169 seats according to the Indikator Opinion firm.
The centre-left remains divided, with the Centre Party and the Left Party ruling out cooperation if the other is included. Parties differ on key policies, from tax on billionaires to whether Sweden should build new nuclear reactors.
Kristersson says that if his bloc wins, the Sweden Democrats—which has apologized for past links with neo-Nazism—would join the government for the first time. The party has previously propped up the ruling coalition without cabinet representation.
Nicholas Aylott, an associate professor at Sodertorn University, noted the campaign felt "unsatisfactory," adding it would be "sensational" if governing parties closed the gap. This election occurs as far-right parties rise across Europe, including Alternative in Germany and Marine Le Pen in France.
The Social Democrats are leading in the polls, but the right is preparing for mutual government cooperation. The far-right Sweden Democrats are seeking ministerial power.