Study: 3,000 Glaciers to Vanish Yearly by 2040s
Annual glacier loss could reach 4,000 by mid-2050s under a 4°C warming scenario, three to five times the current rate, study finds.
- On Monday, an ETH Zurich-led study in Nature Climate Change found that under the roughly 2.7°C trajectory, about 3,000 glaciers will vanish annually between 2040 and 2060.
- Researchers used a global satellite database of 211,490 glaciers to model extinction when area falls below 0.01 square kilometers or 1% of ~2000 volume.
- Under the 1.5°C scenario, models show the peak occurs around 2041 with roughly 2,000 glaciers lost yearly, while small-glacier regions like the European Alps could lose half their glaciers within 20 years.
- Communities that rely on glacier-fed water face risks as glacier melt could boost sea levels by 25 centimetres this century and reduce irrigation, tourism, and ski industries supporting two billion people.
- Current pledges point to about 2.7°C of warming, meaning by 2100 only about 20% of glaciers remain versus around 50% at 1.5°C, with governments and policymakers determining emissions trajectories.
63 Articles
63 Articles
New research has raised concerns among conservationists and scientists worldwide, revealing that the number of glaciers disappearing each year could increase to 2,000–4,000 by the middle of this century if global temperatures continue to rise.
The planet continues to warm up, that is, we continue to warm it up. The consequences are devastating: heat waves, droughts, fires, loss of biodiversity... But governments are busy with day-to-day management and neglecting the urgent. As Brazil's Environment Minister, Marina Silva, says, "the dinosaurs did not know what was coming, but we do."The effects of the climate crisis are continuous.According to Greenpeace, climate change is the greatest…
Research published in the scientific journal Nature Climate Change finds that without immediate action against climate change, thousands of glaciers could disappear each year by mid-century.
Earth Is Barreling Toward 'Peak Glacier Extinction'
A new study estimates the planet is heading toward a midcentury peak in glacier loss, with thousands of ice masses set to vanish each year as temperatures climb. Researchers writing in Nature Climate Change modeled the fate of more than 200,000 glaciers worldwide and identified a period they call...
Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century
Projections of glacier change typically focus on mass and area loss, yet the disappearance of individual glaciers directly threatens culturally, spiritually and touristically significant landscapes. Here, using three global glacier models, we project a sharp rise in the number of glaciers disappearing worldwide, peaking between 2041 and 2055 with up to ~4,000 glaciers vanishing annually. Regional variability reflects differences in average glacie
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