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Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears in Virginia: Poll

Winsome Earle-Sears closes gap to three points amid voter turnout gains and cultural debates on immigration and transgender policies, with polls showing the race within margin of error.

  • Democrat Abigail Spanberger holds a 10-point lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in the Virginia governor's race as of a September 28-29 poll.
  • Spanberger’s lead has expanded due to rising backing from independents, men, and younger voters compared to polling data from early 2025 conducted by Emerson College.
  • The race remains close within the margin of error amid controversies including a campaign staffer's social media remarks, immigration debates, and criticism over transgender policies.
  • The Emerson College poll surveyed 725 likely voters with a margin of error of +/-3.6%, showing Spanberger at 52%, Earle-Sears at 42%, and 5% undecided.
  • Spanberger's momentum signals potential shifts in voter behavior that could influence the election outcome as voters focus on the economy and threats to democracy during a federal shutdown.
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Breitbart broke the news in United States on Thursday, October 2, 2025.
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