Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears in Virginia: Poll
Winsome Earle-Sears closes gap to three points amid voter turnout gains and cultural debates on immigration and transgender policies, with polls showing the race within margin of error.
- Democrat Abigail Spanberger holds a 10-point lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in the Virginia governor's race as of a September 28-29 poll.
- Spanberger’s lead has expanded due to rising backing from independents, men, and younger voters compared to polling data from early 2025 conducted by Emerson College.
- The race remains close within the margin of error amid controversies including a campaign staffer's social media remarks, immigration debates, and criticism over transgender policies.
- The Emerson College poll surveyed 725 likely voters with a margin of error of +/-3.6%, showing Spanberger at 52%, Earle-Sears at 42%, and 5% undecided.
- Spanberger's momentum signals potential shifts in voter behavior that could influence the election outcome as voters focus on the economy and threats to democracy during a federal shutdown.
14 Articles
14 Articles
Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in Virginia governor's race, Emerson poll finds
(WHTM) - Former congresswoman Abigail Spanberger (D) is leading Lt. Governor Winsome Earle-Sears (R) by 10 points in the Virginia governor's race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey. The poll found Spanberger with 52% to Earle-Sears' 42%, an increase from Spanberger's 1% lead in a January Emerson College survey. “Spanberger has picked up significant momentum since the first Emerson College poll at the beginning of 2025, d…
Spanberger holds 10-point lead in Virginia governor’s race
(The Center Square) – Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger is starting October with a polling advantage in Virginia’s governor’s race as the month opens with a federal shutdown and political tension building in Virginia.
New Poll Shows Winsome Earle-Sears Closing in on Abigail Spanberger in Virginia Governor’s Race
A survey released this week from A2 Insights has Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears trailing Democrat Abigail Spanberger by just three points in Virginia’s gubernatorial election, putting the contest firmly within the margin of error as early voting picks up steam.

GOP Candidate Closes The Gap In Governor’s Race – Contest Now Within Margin Of Error
Virginia Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears now trails her Democratic opponent, Abigail Spanberger, by only three points, according to a new survey. This puts the race within the survey’s margin of error. BREAKING: NEW A2 INSIGHTS VIRGINIA GOVERNOR POLL SHOWS SEARS RAPIDLY CLOSING THE GAP Abigail Spanberger: 48% (+3) Winsome Earle-Sears: 45% KEEP VOTING, VIRGINIA! pic.twitter.com/qz1qsjdDYx — Virginia College Republicans (@vacollegegop) Oc…
Virginia Poll: Spanberger holds 10-point lead over Earle-Sears for governor
(WAVY) — A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey taken September 2025 shows an increased margin between Virginia gubernatorial candidates Democrat Abigail Spanberger and Republican Winsome Earle-Sears. Compared to an earlier survey taken January 2025, Spanberger’s support increased ten points from 42% to 52%, while Earle-Sears picked up one percentage point, from 41% to 42%. According to the same survey, less than 5% of voters are undecide…
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