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Separation could cost Alberta up to $170B: independent report

The report says a separation would disrupt the economy and cut a typical worker’s earnings by almost $5,500 a year, officials said.

  • On Wednesday, a University of Calgary School of Public Policy report commissioned by the Alberta government estimated separation could cost between $50 billion and $170 billion over five years, causing significant economic disruption.
  • Alberta's debt would surge by $324 billion upon separation as the province assumes its share of national liabilities, bringing total debt to $442 billion.
  • Establishing a new country would cost between $50 billion and $170 billion over five years, with GDP dropping about 2.2 per cent and typical workers earning almost $5,500 less annually in the short term.
  • Finance Minister Jason Nixon emphasized the report highlights both 'smooth' and 'difficult' negotiation scenarios, with the assessment stressing the high costs and uncertainty of separation for Alberta.
  • The panel stated the rest of Canada would be better off if Alberta remains, despite the report projecting long-term GDP could rise 3.4 per cent over 20 years.
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A report commissioned by the Alberta government estimates that the cost of separation from Canada could reach $170 billion for the first five years alone.

·Montreal, Canada
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Bias Distribution

  • 61% of the sources lean Left
61% Left

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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
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