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Scientists detect a sharp acceleration in global warming

Researchers found warming has risen about 0.35°C per decade over the past 10 years after removing natural variability, with over 98% confidence across five datasets.

  • Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research researchers announced that global warming has accelerated since around 2015 after filtering natural climate "noise" from five major temperature datasets.
  • To isolate the long-term warming signal, researchers removed temporary influences like El Niño, volcanic eruptions, and solar variations that previously obscured underlying temperature trends.
  • Data analysis shows the planet warmed at roughly 0.35°C per decade over the past 10 years, compared to just under 0.2°C per decade from 1970 to 2015, with over 98% statistical certainty.
  • Stefan Rahmstorf, PIK researcher and lead author, warned that if current warming rates persist, Earth could exceed the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C long-term limit before 2030.
  • How quickly Earth continues to warm ultimately depends on how rapidly humanity reduces global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels to zero, as current acceleration signals faster warming than during the 20th century.
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Global Warming Has Kicked Into Overdrive, Scientists Warn

At this rate, we could breach the warming limit set by the Paris Agreement before 2030.

·New York, United States
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A new study published in Geophysical Research Letters confirms with 98% certainty what economists feared: global warming is accelerating at an unprecedented rate, threatening the stability of global markets and forcing governments to make radical economic choices before 2030. Between 2015 and 2025, the planet warmed up by 0.35°C per decade compared to 0.2°C between 1970 and 2015. This acceleration transforms the climate into a major macroeconomi…

According to measurements, the Earth's average temperature has increased by almost 0.35 degrees Celsius per decade over the past ten years.

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Science Daily broke the news in Encinitas, United States on Sunday, August 2, 2026.
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