Ryanair trims traffic target, warns rivals face winter squeeze amid fuel costs
Ryanair said 80% of its fuel is hedged at $67 a barrel, but higher oil prices could lift European short-haul fares.
- On Wednesday, Sep 2, 2026, Ryanair cut its fiscal 2027 traffic target to 214 million passengers from 216 million to limit exposure to unhedged oil prices during the winter season.
- Sustained high oil prices are driving the decision, with jet fuel at around $140 a barrel; International Air Transport Association reports prices rose 8.2% month-on-month and 74.2% over the past year.
- Ryanair remains well positioned with 80% of its 2027 jet fuel hedged at roughly $67 per barrel, and the airline operated over 120,500 flights recently with a steady 96% load factor.
- Short-Haul airfares in Europe are likely to increase "materially," and Ryanair warned some competitors will "struggle to maintain capacity or even survive" this winter if oil prices remain high.
- While summer traffic remains on track to grow by more than 5% to 145 million, Ryanair expects traffic from November to March to be "broadly flat," contrasting with Rival Wizz Air's 25.9% passenger growth last month.
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