Russia Expected to Intensify Hybrid War on Europe
Moldova reported four drone incursions and Romania and Poland scrambled jets as officials said Russia is testing Europe’s air defenses.
- Danish intelligence stated on Thursday that Moscow could launch an attack against NATO within months, describing the threat as a "low but growing risk." A CIA report suggested Russia is preparing drone strikes against France, Spain, and Italy from the sea.
- Experts warn Russia is exploiting political ambiguity and military shortages to probe NATO red lines. Katia Glod of the New Eurasian Strategies Centre says Moscow aims to "discover how far it could go without triggering a decisive collective response from NATO."
- On Wednesday, a fire broke out at a Starlink ground station 40 kilometers south of Warsaw, causing two border crossings to evacuate. A Russian Mi-8 helicopter violated Polish airspace for 42 seconds the same day.
- Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned in Krakow on Thursday that Russia is refining "disgusting forms of pressure" and Poland must prepare. Romanian President Nicusor Dan condemned the "illegal, unprovoked and unjustified war" at the UN General Assembly on Wednesday.
- Glod emphasizes that resilience requires society to function when critical supplies like electricity and communications are disrupted. Despite increased defense spending, experts warn of significant gaps in European preparedness beyond the battlefield, noting vulnerability could incentivize Russian aggression.
16 Articles
16 Articles
Just a few months ago, Russia’s war was an abstract reality for most people in Europe outside of Ukraine. And when Russian drones did violate the airspace of Poland or Romania, the official comments were also strangely reassuring and abstract. Even when a Russian drone hit a block of flats in the Romanian city of Galati in late May 2026, many EU and NATO representatives were slow to accuse Russia of premeditation. There was still talk of hybrid …
The critical infrastructure Europe - and Nato - needs to protect from Russia
Putin could attack ports, transport and communications in a bid to test Nato’s resolve. Experts tell Maira Butt that Nato members must start preparing for the worst
Drone explosions, air raids, fire attacks: Poland, Romania and the Republic of Moldova are now regularly part of Russian attacks against Ukraine. Governments clearly intend to do so.
Drone explosions, air raids, fire attacks: Poland, Romania and the Republic of Moldova are now regularly part of Russian attacks against Ukraine. Governments clearly intend to do so.
From Russian drones in Romania and Moldova to the sabotage of the Starlink station in Poland to the alarm of European intelligence: a series of incidents rekindles Europe's security concerns
The Russian Military Campaign Against Europe: Current Objectives and Efforts
Introduction Russia is operating within a war framework against Europe while Europe continues to function within a peace framework. It does not follow that a full-scale war between Russia and NATO is inevitable, let alone imminent. NATO and European states must recognize the framework the Kremlin is using in order to enable European states to …
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