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Sweden Election Race Tightens as Liberals Make Parliament Threshold, Poll Shows
Novus found the Liberals at 4.3%, easing fears the party could lose its 16 seats as the ruling bloc narrows the opposition's lead.
A new poll from Novus published by TV4 on Monday shows Sweden's ruling right-wing bloc closing the gap on the centre-left opposition, with the government and Sweden Democrats at 47.9% compared to 50.3% for their rivals.
Three weeks ago, the centre-left opposition led by Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson held a 10 percentage point lead, which political scientists previously described as a near-insurmountable gap to bridge before the election.
Junior coalition party the Liberals rose to 4.3% from 3.3% in the survey of 2,888 voters, clearing the 4% threshold for the first time since October 2022.
Clearing the 4% threshold eases fears the party could lose its 16 seats, preserving the majority for the government led by Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
As voters approach Sunday's general election, the margin between the two blocs has narrowed by 0.2 percentage points, reflecting a tightening race heading into the final days.
The Liberals are approaching the parliamentary barrier in the DN/Ipso penultimate poll before the election. At the same time, the Social Democrats continue to lose support. Yet the opposition parties are still in a clear lead with six days left.
The gap between the blocs is narrowing, and for the first time the Liberals have climbed over the threshold. Contrary to expectations, the Swedish election could be a nail-biter.