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Republican Candidates Hilton and Bianco Lead California Governor Poll

Two Republicans lead with 17% and 16% support in a UC Berkeley poll as Democrats remain fragmented ahead of California's June primary election.

  • On Wednesday, a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll showed Steve Hilton at 17% and Chad Bianco at 16% among likely voters, based on 5,019 surveyed from March 9-15 with a 2.5-point margin of error.
  • Because of California's top-two primary rules, a split Democratic field could allow two Republicans to advance to the November general election as Republican voters consolidate behind Hilton and Bianco.
  • Republican voters prioritized cutting waste, fraud and political corruption, cited by 48, while Tom Steyer's ad spending lifted support to 10%.
  • Democratic leaders are urging candidates to exit ahead of April 15, but as of Tuesday low-polling gubernatorial candidates under 5% had not said if they'd drop out before the June 2 primary.
  • No Republican has won statewide in California since 2006, when Arnold Schwarzenegger was last elected governor, and poll director Mark DiCamillo warned voters remain fractured despite undecided voters falling to about 16%.
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Bias Distribution

  • 37% of the sources lean Left, 36% of the sources are Center
37% Left

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Los Angeles Times broke the news in Los Angeles, United States on Wednesday, March 18, 2026.
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