UHERO Forecasts Hawaii Recession in 2026 with Tourism Decline, Job Losses

Hawaii heading into 'mild' recession in 2026

The state's edging into a mild recession with tourism down and job losses anticipated in major sectors in 2026, according to the University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization.

'Mild recession and weak recovery': Predictions for Hawaii's economic future in the new year

No one can tell the future, but UHERO researchers have an idea of what's in store for Hawaii's economy. What's their prediction?

UHERO forecasts Hawaii recession in 2026 with tourism decline, job losses

Hawaii's economy is sliding toward a mild recession with job losses expected across multiple sectors, but economists say there are some bright spots that could help soften the blow.

Report: Hawaii will see inflation, mild recession in 2026

Hawaii’s economy continues to head toward a mild recession in 2026 driven, primarily, by the overall U.S. economy, President Donald Trump’s on-going tariffs, cuts in federal spending and deportations, according to the fourth quarter economic forecast released today by the University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization.