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What Does California's Record Heat Mean for Its Water Supply?

California faces operational challenges due to snowmelt starting two months early and reservoirs above historic averages, affecting water storage and flood risk management.

  • In mid-March, California reservoir operators recorded rapid snowmelt with many reservoirs nearing capacity, including one at 114% of average and 84% capacity.
  • A record-baking heat wave and a warm wet storm after February's snow accelerated Sierra Nevada snowpack melt, and Michael Anderson, state climatologist, says climate change shifts runoff earlier.
  • The Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations program used advanced forecasting at Lake Mendocino, and state and federal agencies improved snowpack modeling and collaborations, reducing major forecast misses since five years ago.
  • Federal rules require agencies to keep empty space until June and request U.S. Army Corps of Engineers permission, while a ruptured hydropower pipe forces more water to be held back and operators may not fill reservoirs by July 1.
  • Beyond immediate operations, experts say early snowmelt complicates storage at New Bullards Bar reservoir, which supplies water to more than 60,000 acres of farmland, and signals climate-driven risks to summer water supplies.
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Cal MattersCal Matters
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Record heat, melting snow: What does it mean for California’s reservoirs?

California's record heat wave is melting the Sierra Nevada snowpack early, threatening the state's water supply heading into a dry summer.

·Sacramento, United States
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Cal Matters broke the news in Sacramento, United States on Friday, March 20, 2026.
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