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RBI May Increase Rates by 0.25 Pc in Oct Policy Amid Inflationary Pressures, Experts Poll Shows

The six-member panel voted unanimously as retail inflation stayed above the 4% target for a third straight month.

  • On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee unanimously raised its benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, shifting its policy stance to calibrated tightening from neutral.
  • Escalating inflation risks, fueled by rising crude oil prices due to the West Asia conflict, combined with weak monsoon rains, prompted the central bank's decision after nearly two years of monetary accommodation.
  • While India's GDP grew 7.8% in the first quarter of FY27, the MPC raised its inflation forecast to 5.2% for the fiscal year from 5% previously, citing broad-based price pressures.
  • Borrowing costs for home, personal, and vehicle loans are expected to rise as banks pass on increased funding costs; savers may see higher deposit rates as lenders adjust their rates.
  • RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra noted that "the policy action ahead can only be a rate hike or pause, depending on the evolving conditions," signaling potential further tightening aligned with global central banks.
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digitalchew.com broke the news on Saturday, October 3, 2026.
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