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Shares Slip in Asia as Oil Climbs, Rate Hikes Loom
Oil gains and higher Treasury yields kept investors cautious as markets priced in likely rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time since 2023, with Chair Kevin Warsh leading a unanimous decision that flagged further borrowing cost increases in coming months.
Surging oil prices driven by Middle East conflict and supply disruptions fueled energy-driven inflation concerns, prompting central banks worldwide to weigh tighter monetary policy as fuel costs threatened to keep inflation elevated.
Retail sales rose 1.2% in August, beating expectations, while the 10-year Treasury yield breached 5% before the Fed decision, signaling persistent inflation pressures despite strong consumer spending.
Equity markets declined sharply, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 631.33 points, as Fed projections showed 16 of 18 policymakers expect at least one more rate increase by year-end.
Fed Chair Warsh told reporters "trends matter, data points are noisy," while analysts debate whether the hike marks a limited recalibration or sustained tightening, with markets pricing in more than 25 basis points of additional increases by year-end.
European and Japanese equities rose today Thursday, supported by falling oil prices and a stoppage in the sale of bonds, while investors await central bank decisions on interest rates.