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Prediction Markets Spend Big as Regulatory Fight Could Reach Supreme Court

OpenSecrets found Kalshi alone spent nearly $1 million on federal lobbying as the industry fights state gambling rules and seeks CFTC oversight.

  • Kalshi, Polymarket, and the Coalition for Prediction Markets spent at least $3 million on lobbying and campaign contributions across federal and state levels this year, according to OpenSecrets.
  • State lawmakers are increasingly frustrated with prediction markets, which critics call a "new form of casino," fueling a power struggle between state officials seeking gambling regulation and the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission .
  • Kalshi spent nearly $1 million on federal lobbying through June 30, while Polymarket spent $180,000, with efforts targeting National Defense Authorization Act sections 1081, 1082, and 1083.
  • Expanding its reach into 41 states, Kalshi poured over $300,000 into the Republican Attorneys General Association and Democratic Attorneys General Association to influence state oversight.
  • Defending its operations in court, the industry has sued nine states that attempted to regulate prediction markets, a move Brad Lipton, director of the Roosevelt Institute's corporate power and financial regulation program, called an "existential question.
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Prediction markets spend millions to influence state, federal governments

Kalshi, Polymarket and the Coalition for Prediction Markets have spent at least $3 million this year on lobbying and campaign contributions across the federal and state levels, according to a new report from the government watchdog group OpenSecrets.

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CasinoBeats broke the news on Thursday, October 1, 2026.
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