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UAE Quits Opec in Shock Move, Rattles Global Oil Markets and Challenges Saudi Dominance

Unverified reports of a UAE exit from OPEC rattled traders as analysts warned that even rumors can move Brent crude within hours.

  • On Tuesday, April 28, the United Arab Emirates announced it will leave OPEC effective May 1, with Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al‑Mazrouei stating the move aims to align production with rising global energy demand.
  • Rising friction between Abu Dhabi and Riyadh over production quotas and regional strategy drove the decision, as the UAE seeks to increase capacity to 5 million barrels per day by 2027 under OPEC's constraints.
  • Recent Iranian attacks damaged major UAE facilities, accelerating the exit; Steve H. Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, states the war makes "take the money and run" the UAE's priority.
  • Global markets reacted with volatility as analysts warn the exit weakens the Saudi Arabia-led OPEC+ alliance and threatens the cartel's control over crude prices, given the UAE's approximately 12% output share.
  • This shift positions the UAE to pursue its own strategic energy vision as oil consumption is expected to peak in coming decades, accelerating investments in domestic production and sustainable technologies.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Tuesday, April 28, 2026.
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