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Oil Steadies as Investors Weigh OPEC+ Output Hike Against US Crude Inventories

OPEC+ may raise November output by up to 411,000 barrels per day, two to three times October’s increase, to regain market share amid global demand concerns.

  • On October 5, Eight OPEC+ countries will meet online to decide November output, with sources saying the group is considering accelerating production increases.
  • Riyadh has been pressing to regain market share, with OPEC+ reversing cuts earlier this year and raising quotas by more than 2.5 million bpd, including unwinding voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd.
  • Crude and product inventories signalled mixed fundamentals last week as Brent crude futures traded near $67.50, U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $62.49, and U.S. crude stocks fell by 3.67 million barrels.
  • OPEC+’s choices matter because the group pumps about half the world’s oil, and the International Energy Agency said world output could exceed consumption by 3.33 million bpd in 2026.
  • Options range from the planned 137,000 bpd step to about 500,000 bpd, but OPEC/OPEC+ rejected 500,000 bpd reports and Russia may oppose bigger hikes due to sanctions.
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Zero Hedge broke the news in United States on Tuesday, September 30, 2025.
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