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Odds of a government shutdown rise to 70% in prediction markets

Prediction markets show a 70% chance of shutdown due to stalled talks over Medicaid cuts and health insurance subsidies, highlighting deep congressional disputes.

Summary by CNBC
Users on Kalshi and Polymarket upped their bets on a government closure after the Labor Department said it won’t release a key jobs report in a shutdown.

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  • 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center

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interactivebrokers.com broke the news in on Monday, September 29, 2025.
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