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Nigel Farage on course to be next prime minister, mega poll projects

YouGov’s mega poll shows Reform UK could win 306-311 seats, marking the biggest gain in British election history amid Labour and Conservative losses.

  • A recent YouGov MRP polling projection estimates Reform UK could win 311 of the 650 seats, making Nigel Farage likely prime minister.
  • This surge follows significant losses by Labour since last year's election where Starmer won 411 seats, with Labour now projected at 144 MPs.
  • The projection shows three-quarters of Reform UK's gains come directly from Labour, which could lose 231 seats to Reform and 26 to the SNP.
  • National vote shares project Reform UK at 27%, Labour at 21%, Conservatives at 17%, Lib Dems at 15%, Greens at 11%, SNP at 3%, and Plaid at 1%.
  • The results indicate no party would secure an outright majority, with Reform UK falling short by 15 seats, prompting uncertainty around coalition possibilities and Nigel Farage’s potential path to becoming prime minister.
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Starmer plays the wild card of the digital document against illegal immigrants: a dystopic turning point with the excuse to stop landings. However, the numbers give Reform Uk near the threshold to govern alone.I know you are concerned about the level of illegal immigration in this country. Keir Starmer sponsors...

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Sky News UK broke the news in United Kingdom on Friday, September 26, 2025.
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