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Can the Oil Market Survive a Forever War with Iran?
More than six months into the conflict with Iran, the global oil market has proven resilient despite high fuel prices costing the average United States household nearly $800 since the war started.
Market stability stems from three factors: The United States and allies ramped up production by roughly 2 million barrels per day, countries preserved stockpiles, and global demand fell by about 5 million barrels per day.
Reserves at a critical Cushing, Oklahoma, storage facility have recovered from July minimums, helping prevent immediate supply failures while The United States military coordinates escorts to bypass the constrained Strait of Hormuz.
Rapidan Energy Group's Bob McNally forecasts Brent at $89 a barrel next year in a 'grey zone conflict' scenario, warning that jeopardizing the world's most important supply region will accelerate oil price booms.
Experts warn that depleting global inventories to a 'tipping point' could force energy prices upward, potentially pressuring The United States to end the conflict to prevent economic disaster.