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Maersk Sticks to Profit Forecast, Iran War Clouds Outlook

Maersk reported $1.73 billion in EBITDA, above forecasts, but said higher fuel costs and disrupted routes could pressure freight rates.

  • On Thursday, shipping giant Maersk reported first-quarter EBITDA of $1.73 billion, beating the $1.66 billion forecast. Maersk CEO Vincent Clerc warned the Iran war clouds the outlook for freight rates and costs.
  • Since the conflict began on February 28, the Strait of Hormuz closure forced Maersk to reroute vessels around Africa. This energy shock creates about $500 million of extra costs per month, which the company is passing to customers.
  • Maersk, a bellwether for global trade, projects container volume growth of 2% to 4% this year but cautioned the outlook remains "highly uncertain" due to higher energy prices and trade constraints in the Upper Gulf region.
  • Shares of Maersk fell 2.9% Thursday amid concerns rising fuel prices could erode profits. Jyske Bank analyst Haider Anjum noted freight rates are not expected to compensate for higher fuel costs.
  • Assuming oil prices remain in the $90 to $100 range through 2026 and the conflict resolves soon, growth targets remain viable. Maersk added the balance of risks is on the downside.
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Business Times broke the news on Thursday, May 7, 2026.
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