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Lula’s Lead over Bolsonaro Narrows Ahead of Brazil Vote, CNT/MDA Poll Shows

The poll showed Lula at 43.1% to Bolsonaro’s 38% in the first round, with a likely runoff still too close to call.

  • On Saturday, a CNT/MDA poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 43.1% to 38% ahead of Sunday's first-round vote.
  • A September 15 poll previously showed Lula at 40.5% and Bolsonaro at 30.4%, demonstrating Lula's lead widened as the election approached.
  • When considering only projected valid votes, Lula reached 47.8% support against Bolsonaro's 42.1%, according to an MDA survey of 2,007 people with a 2.2 percentage point margin of error.
  • If no candidate exceeds more than 50% of valid votes on Sunday, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25, where Lula would receive 47.3% support.
  • Bolsonaro greeted supporters at a campaign rally in Santa Barbara do Oeste on October 3, one day before the general election, as the Liberal Party candidate seeks to narrow the gap.
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89 Articles

Lean Right

According to the CNT/MDA poll, the current president of Brazil would obtain 43.1% of the votes, while his rival, Senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would reach 38% of the preferences in the first round.

·Las Condes, Chile
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Lean Right

A single percentage point separates the two candidates in one of the polls and in another the difference becomes just two tenths. Thus Brazil arrives at the polls this Sunday, in a presidential election that no one dares to take for granted. According to three new polls spread by Bloomberg, the president ... Continue reading "Brazil votes this Sunday: Lula and Bolsonaro arrive separated by just one point in the polls"

·Concepción, Chile
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Center

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Lean Left

According to polls in the first ballot, none of the candidates will reach the necessary majority. Sunday's election takes place under concerns about foreign influences.

·Germany
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Lean Left

Brazil's presidential election on Sunday isn't just about who runs the government—it's a test of President Trump's way in Latin America and the future of the Amazon, Axios reports. President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva faces Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro, heir to the movement built by his father, Jair Bolsonaro,...

·Miami, United States
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Poder360 broke the news on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
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